Locks
NCAA Football – Clemson/Pittsburgh Over 56 (-110): So you think Trevor Lawrence is going to come back from COVID, after Clemson had last week’s game canceled, and Dabo is going to have him hand off to Travis Etienne all day? Pitt has a fairly strong defense, but that means nothing against a motivated Clemson team looking to take out weeks worth of frustration.
Pitt QB Kenny Pickett has returned from injury to produce back to back 40-plus point efforts and should be able to find plenty of openings against a vulnerable Clemson defense still missing some key players. Most of all, on a beautiful day in Clemson, expect the Tigers to run it up and maybe get over this number themselves.
NCAA Football – Kent State/Buffalo Over 68 (-110): There’s a lot of craziness in 2020, but I didn’t expect it to include Kent State leading the country in points and yards per game and second nationally in rush yards. Granted, they’ve rolled a lot of that up against MAC bottom feeders Bowling Green and Akron, but there also hasn’t been any defense, allowing 24 and 35 in those games.
Against a Buffalo offense averaging 44 PPG, the Golden Flashes will offer zero resistance. There is some wind in the forecast, but I don’t see that as much of a factor given how explosive these teams are on the ground. I think odds makers are underestimating the sheer number of possessions in this game, and that will be the key to driving this over the total.
Degenerates
NCAA Basketball – Wyoming -27.5 vs. Mississippi Valley St (-110): Year after year, Mississippi Valley is maybe the ultimate fluffer that’s still allowed to call itself a Division I team. The Delta Devils let pretty much any team do what they want, whether it be a power or mid-major conference squad. In their opening two games, they lost to Arkansas by 80, and North Texas by 54 when the spreads in both were near 40. I have a hard time believing they’ll be able to travel to altitude in Laramie and be able to keep this within 30.
Tiny Nick is 28-16 (+9.8 Units) on his locks since joining Zone Coverage.
Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining, but riskier picks.
