Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks: 12/10

Photo Credit: Kirby Lee (USA TODAY Sports)
Locks

No locks today.

Degenerates

New England Patriots vs. Los Angeles Rams under 45 (-110):

Rams home games this year are averaging a total of 35.8 PPG, the lowest such number in the NFL and all five of those games have come in under this total. I like that trend to continue tonight when the turtle-slow Patriots offense comes in. I just don’t see how the Patriots move the ball against this Rams defense. We know Cam Newton won’t be throwing the ball, but can they run it against the team allowing the 3rd fewest rushing yards per game?

On the other side, Bill Belichick is the only one who solved the Rams offense the year they met in the Super Bowl, and I imagine he has something in store for Jared Goff again, who has been inconsistent at best this year. These teams are both 8-4 to the under this season and I expect another low-scoring affair here.

NCAA Basketball – Long Beach St. @ San Francisco -15.5 (-110):

I think we’ve finally seen the real USF team in their last two games, both lopsided wins including by 25 against a strong Nevada team. The Dons shot the lights out in those games and held their opponents to low shooting percentages — especially from deep. I love what head coach Todd Golden is doing to get this team to play great fundamental basketball. Remember, this is the team that knocked off Virginia a couple of weeks ago.

Long Beach is just overmatched here, as their program has been down in the Big West the past couple of years. Their poor shooting, especially from behind the arc at 29%, will be amplified against this Dons defense. In their other matchup against a WCC team, they fell by 24 to Loyola Marymount, who isn’t nearly as strong a team as San Francisco is. I make this game a 20 point margin, so I’ll gladly lay this number with the hot home team.

Tiny Nick is 47-24 (+20.6 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage.

Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining, but riskier picks.

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Photo Credit: Kirby Lee (USA TODAY Sports)

Locks NBA (0.5 Unit) LA Clippers @ Philadelphia 76ers +6.5 (-110; Odds via BetMGM): 6:30 PM CT on ESPN I’m not understanding why the Clippers are favored […]

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