Locks
Chiefs -2.5 @ Saints (-110):
Look, I know this is a game that the public will jump all over but that’s not going to stop me from riding out Patrick Mahomes right now. He is absolutely on fire and for the first time in over a month, the Kansas City Chiefs have a spread small enough to not only win but to cover as well. Even with the anticipated return of Drew Brees, I am still going to roll with Andy Reid and the Chiefs here.
Michael Thomas is also inactive today so that should give this suspect Kansas City defense a little bit of a boost being able to focus more on Emmanuel Sanders and Co. I’m not saying it will be easy at the Superdome but the Chiefs should take care of business.
Dolphins -1 @ Patriots (-110):
Whether it’s Tua or Fitzmagic, it just doesn’t matter. This team rolls with its production on the defensive side of the ball, not offense and I expect that to continue today. Bill Belichick is getting more respect than he deserves this year, and I expect Cam Newton to struggle against this strong Miami Dolphins defense today.
I think Tua Tagovailoa is more than capable of controlling the ball and letting his defense take care of their business today. The New England Patriots haven’t given up hope on their season, but we saw them struggle against a good Los Angeles Rams defense just last week. Aside from having a couple of extra days for the Pats to plan for the Dolphins, momentum is swinging in Miami’s direction for this one.
2 Team 6 Point Teaser; Colts -1, Browns -1 (-110):
The Indianapolis Colts are rolling right now and the Houston Texans just simply are not. When Bill O’Brien first got fired this Houston team rallied a bit and played some good football, but that has since worn off and the Texans are ready to pack it in for next season.
Philip Rivers and the Colts will look to hammer the Texans today so the spread is also an intriguing play to me. As for the Cleveland Browns, is Freddie Kitchens really calling plays for Colt McCoy and the New York Giants with Jason Garrett on the COVID list? If that’s truly the case, say no more, especially with a Cleveland team coming off of one of its most disappointing games of the season more motivated than ever.
Degenerates
Seahawks/Washington Under 44.5 (-110):
This Washington defense is for real and their offense is not. The Football Team’s defense has the second-highest quarterback rush rate in the NFL and Russell Wilson likes to hold the ball longer than anyone in the NFL. That could spell trouble for the Seattle Seahawks.
Although I think the Seahawks are good enough to still win this game, they are 5-0 towards the under in their last five and Washington is 7-2 for the under in their last nine. As long as Washington’s quarterbacks continue to struggle this one should stay under and what’s better than trying to speed up the clock on a primetime game?
Rams/Jets Under 44.5 (-110):
Pretty much the same thought process as the last one. The Rams have a great defense and the Jets have a horrible offense. I expect this one to be about 31-10 as a high case scenario so I’m going to roll with the under with the lowly Jets offense taking the field after the Rams destroyed the Patriots on TNF last week (while hitting an easy under.)
This spread is just a little uncomfortable but I wouldn’t be surprised if the Rams cover as well. In a game where the Jets allowed 40 points last week, they only managed to put up three to still stay under so I’m banking on their offense not to wake up today.
Tiny Nick is 68-31 (+35.9 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage.
Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining, but riskier picks.
