Locks
NFL (3 Units) 2 Team 6 Point Teaser; Chiefs -0.5, Bucs -1 (-120):
Okay, 3 units might seem like a lot, but after yesterday I’m ready to turn the page as fast as possible. The Chiefs are taking on an Eagles team that just got blown out by the Cowboys. The Cowboys and the Chiefs have a lot in common and I expect the Chiefs to come out firing on all cylinders, especially after a couple of tough losses in recent weeks. I also just don’t believe in Jalen Hurts so this wasn’t a hard decision for me.
As for the second half of this tease, well, it’s Tom Brady under the lights on a record-breaking night against the team he wants to embarrass the most. I’m taking both of these games ATS as well but for now, let’s focus on the tease and how much fun this game should be to watch in general. The Bucs roll in this one for what should be a stress-free finish to a beautiful Sunday.
NFL (1 Unit) 2 Team Teaser; Titans PK, Packers PK (-120):
You can mix and match these teasers however you’d like but one thing I’m not afraid of is the Jets. This Titans spread has moved towards the Jets due to numerous injuries Tennessee is dealing with, most notably Julio Jones and A.J. Brown being ruled out. Even with all the injury concerns and line movements I just am not afraid of Zach Wilson. The guy has looked horrible for multiple weeks in a row and has a lot to prove to me before I won’t feel comfortable picking against him in a pick ‘em spot.
The Packers get to take on the Big Ben Roethlisberger tanking Steelers this week and it’s gotta feel good for Aaron Rodgers. Somehow these two aging quarterbacks haven’t played since the 2010 Super Bowl and we all remember how that one played out. I expect more of the same here except this time Big Ben actually sucks. His improved diet and workout regime clearly have not been enough to keep him in the league much longer so look for a few Lambeau Leaps en route to a Packer’s win in this one.
NFL (1 Unit) Cowboys -4 Vs. Panthers (-110): 12 PM CT on Fox
Yeah, yeah, yeah I know I’m a Cowboys fan but this team is legit. The addition of Micah Parsons has been gigantically impactful for this defense and they are only going to get better as the year goes on. Trevon Diggs, Parsons, and Co. matched with an offense featuring multiple great receivers and early MVP candidate Dak Prescott are nearly impossible when things are rolling. Throw in Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard and this team is nearly unstoppable. Carolina away from home won’t be able to use their home grass to slow down an offensive unit that has otherwise not been stopped so far. Also, Sam Darnold hasn’t proven to me he should be taken seriously yet, especially with two of his wins coming against bottom feeders in an otherwise deep league this year.
NFL (0.5 Units) 49ers -2 Vs Seahawks (-110): 3:05 PM CT on Fox
I dumbed this one down to a half unit because the Seahawks really need to win this game. The problem is, they aren’t going to. The 49ers are coming off of a tough loss against Green Bay and will have their home crowd behind them while the Seahawks are coming off of an absolute butt-kicking in Minnesota. As long as Russ doesn’t cook too much in this one the 49ers should have no problem covering such a small spread at home.
Degenerates
No degenerates today.
Tiny Nick is 390-295 ATS (+87.4 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage.
Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.
