Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks: 5/07

Photo Credit: Petre Thomas-USA TODAY Sports

Locks

NBA (0.5 Units) Milwaukee Bucks -2 vs. Boston Celtics (-110): 2:30 PM CT on ESPN

Sometimes it really does feel like the NBA playoffs are a guessing game. One day a team will lose by 30 and another they will win a tight game against that very same opponent. That’s what makes this spot so weird and intriguing to me. The defending champs to win by such a small spread is too good to pass up on and even though I do respect the Celtics a lot, I’m rolling with the home-court advantage in this Game 3 juggernaut Matchup.

NBA (0.75 Units) Golden State Warriors/Memphis Grizzlies Over 225 (-110): 7:30 PM CT on ESPN

Let’s be honest, overs have been tough to come by as we saw the last couple of weeks around the NBA. But this total feels a little low to me because of a reaction to a low-scoring Game 2 in Memphis. These two teams combined to shoot only 24.5% from the three-point line in that game, so I see the law of averages kicking in for Game 3, especially when you factor in Golden State’s Big 3 shooting an insanely bad 5 for 27 from three in Game 2.

That’s not going to happen again.

On top of that, Memphis has enjoyed playing fast all season long to the tune of being the second highest scoring team in the NBA. So look for this game to be played in the 230’s or higher, much like we saw in Game 1.

Degenerates

No degenerates today.

Tiny Nick is 712-582 ATS (+81.4 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage. 

Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks. 

 

 

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Photo Credit: Petre Thomas-USA TODAY Sports

Locks NBA (0.25 Unit) Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 55.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists (-110): 2:30 PM CT on ABC The Greek Freak tends to have freakish close-out game performances, and with […]

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