MLB (0.75 Unit) Baltimore Orioles/Toronto Blue Jays Over 9 (-110): 6:07 PM CT on SportsNet
All these teams do is cash over tickets. All six meetings this season have gone over the posted total and tonight’s total while averaging 11.7 runs, and there’s no letup in sight given this pitching matchup.
Yusei Kikuchi is still an auto-fade when he takes the mound for Toronto despite some decent outings against very weak offenses. The Blue Jay lefty has the most trouble with right-handed bats, which Baltimore has plenty of. That explains his 9.00 ERA and .314 on-base average allowed in two starts against the Orioles this season, so I’m confident he will continue those struggles here.
I’m even more confident we’ll see the Toronto bats come back to life against Kyle Bradish. He has easily been Baltimore’s weakest starter this season, and he gets crushed by right-handed bats for a .356 average and 1.016 OPS. All those elite righty hitters for Toronto will be looking to tee off as they have in previous meetings with Bradish, tagging him for a 7.45 ERA and .359 on-base average in two starts.
With strong trends and ugly matchups for the starters, this over ticket might be cashed fairly early tonight.
No degenerates today.
Tiny Nick is 823-692 ATS (+73.8 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage.
Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.