Locks
NFL/NCAA Football (1 Unit) 3-Leg 7 Point Teaser (+120; Odds via Fanduel)
Philadelphia Eagles -0.5 @ NY Giants: 7:15 PM CT on Prime Video
New York is a big market, I get it, but I’m begging for an end to seeing the Giants and Jets on my TV at night, and I’m sure the teams themselves wouldn’t mind either. Since 2019 the Jets and Giants have a combined 5-35 record in primetime, including a horrendous 2-20 mark for the Giants specifically, and just 1-12 for the G-men at home. So just asking the Giants to continue losing in front of a national TV audience makes this teased number very attractive, especially against an angry Eagles team.
That collapse last week was part of the full moon nonsense or whatever was cursing good teams at home, but they’re bound to bounce back. Philly has blown one other 14-point lead in the Jalen Hurts era which was last season, and they came back the next week to win 41-7 over, coincidentally, the Giants. If we get a focused and motivated Eagles squad, they’ll run out this haphazard Giants team to extend their primetime woes.
East Carolina @ Tulane PK: 6:30 PM CT on ESPN
I just think this is a big step up in class for East Carolina, who has dined out on a soft schedule so far. This defense is nowhere near as good as its metrics would suggest, a product of shutting down opponents like Coastal Carolina and Campbell. When they’ve faced quality offenses that are multifaceted things haven’t gone their way, and that’s what they’ll see tonight.
Jake Retzlaff has this Tulane team rolling as his dual-threat abilities have been utilized to the max. The Green Wave are much more battle tested than the Pirates, and have been excellent at home against tough competition. They also need this game to stay unblemished in the wildly competitive AAC race, with the winner almost assuredly getting the Group of 5 CFP ticket. So look for Tulane’s methodical but effective offense to produce well against ECU, whose incredibly fast pace will generate more possessions for the Wave to capitalize on.
Southern Miss/Georgia Southern Over 52.5: 7:00 PM CT on ESPN2
This matchup of an average defense for Southern Miss and an atrocious defense for Georgia Southern should result in plenty of points. Anyone can score on Georgia Southern, with the Eagles owning one of the worst statistical defenses in the country by both true points per game and according to efficiency-based metrics. Southern Miss really got their offense clicking in all phases last time out as the ground game finally came alive, and they should gash an Eagles defense that can’t cover or tackle.
But Georgia Southern’s offense is not at all their issue, as that side of the ball has thrived in Clay Helton’s up-tempo and pass-happy style. That offense couldn’t get going in their last game, but a bye week should give them a chance to fix the issues and attack a Southern Miss defense that is allowing too many points to average competition to be taken seriously. If this turns into a shootout, both teams have the weapons to go up and down the field, which I see happening to clear this adjusted number.
Degenerates
No degenerates today.
Past 7 days Tiny Tracker: 25-21 (+1.12 Units) – Recommend: Tail With Caution
Tiny Nick has been writing betting picks for Zone Coverage since 2020. Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are what he’s most confident in, while Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.
