Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks: 11/22

Photo Credit: Denny Medley (USA TODAY Sports)
Locks

2-Team 6.5-Point Teaser Chiefs -0.5, Dolphins +3 (-120): The Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders square off this week after a very entertaining game just over a month ago. Andy Reid felt disrespected by the victory lap the Raiders’ team bus took after the game, and he made sure to mention it this week. The Raiders had a large amount of defensive players affected by COVID and its protocol this week, and in a week where they should have been preparing for Patrick Mahomes, that spells recipe for disaster.

As for the Miami Dolphins, they are rolling right now. This defense is playing great and with no noise factor at Mile High, I simply expect the Dolphins to get it done. Drew Lock doesn’t worry me much so as long as Tua Tagovailoa doesn’t have a meltdown this should be a comfortable win.

2-Team 6.5-Point Teaser Vikings -0.5, Chargers -3 (-120): I had a few games this week that I was interested in teasing but didn’t pull the trigger on (Pittsburgh Steelers, Atlanta Falcons, Cleveland Browns, Green Bay Packers and Los Angeles Rams), but at the end of the day these were the teams I picked. The Minnesota Vikings are going up against my lowly Dallas Cowboys, and although I think there’s a chance Andy Dalton doesn’t play terribly, I just believe in Dalvin Cook and the Vikings to find a way to win.

As for the Los Angeles Chargers, they go up against a horrible New York Jets team. Joe Flacco scares me a little bit, but not enough not to take the Chargers today. Los Angeles usually find a way to screw things up late, but against the Jets that shouldn’t be a problem.

Patriots ML (-120): The New England Patriots are desperate to get a little winning streak going right now after a horrible finish to October and start to November. Cam Newton and the Pats offense came alive last week in sloppy conditions against a strong Baltimore Ravens defense, so I’d have to think that they can keep it together against a struggling Houston Texans team. Bill Belichick is the best in the game at game planning, so I fully expect them to be ready for whatever Deshaun Watson is ready to throw their way.

Browns -2.5 (-110): Sound the trap game alarms for the Cleveland Browns, but not loud enough to actually care. The Philadelphia Eagles are part of the worst division in football and somehow still will be very motivated to steal one in Cleveland to extend their lead in the NFC East. The problem is they aren’t any good and this Browns team beats up on bad teams. Expect Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt, and this Browns offense to pound the rock early and often on a cold, rainy day in Cleveland.

Browns-Eagles Under 46 (-110): The weather is sloppy and cold in Cleveland this morning so look for this game to go very similar to the Browns Week 10 matchup against the Texans last week. That game was lucky to make it over the 15-point mark, and this total has hardly been unaffected by the poor weather as of now. Get it before the public catches on and hope that Carson Wentz and the Eagles continue to struggle to put up points. It hasn’t been easy for either of these teams on offense so this weather is just the icing on the cake.

Degenerates

Lions PK (-110): The Lions are taking on the Panthers this week in a game that Teddy Bridgewater is questionable for and Christian McCaffrey has already been ruled out for. The NFC North is pretty tight other than the Packers, and the Lions still have a playoff shot so look for them to come out with a hard fought win in Carolina today, especially if Bridgewater can’t go.

Bengals +2 (-110): Joe Burrow and the Bengals head into Washington to take on the Alex Smith led Washington Football Team. Washington’s defense isn’t a joke, but I have a feeling Joey Covers is going to bounce back against a WFT that sits tied at the bottom of the worst division in NFL history. The Bengals have already tied the Eagles in this weird season, so they know this will be their best chance at getting Burrow his third career win. If the Cincinnati team that played against the Tennessee Titans shows up today, look for the former Heisman winner to have some fun.

Packers +1.5 (-110): I just love betting against the Indianapolis Colts because I think they’ve had a soft schedule and don’t play well against good teams. The Green Bay Packers are hit or miss, but I trust them as a road dog indoors in Indianapolis. Without a crowd, Aaron Rodgers should be able to do his thing against a pretty good Colts defense, especially with Davante Adams back and hopefully Allen Lazard as well. This one should be close, but I trust Rodgers to outduel the also old Philip Rivers. The over in this one could be fun too, but I’m sticking to the single play.

Tiny Nick is 23-14 (+7 Units) on his locks since joining Zone Coverage.

Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining, but riskier picks.

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Photo Credit: Denny Medley (USA TODAY Sports)

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