Locks
MLB (1 Unit) Milwaukee Brewers/St. Louis Cardinals First 5 Innings Under 3.5 (-110): 6:45 PM CT on Bally Sports MW
If you’re looking for offense, you’re looking in the wrong place because these teams simply don’t score against each other’s starting pitching. In seven games this season, the Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals have gone 6-1 under this number in the first five innings, including the highest-scoring meeting they’ve had — a 14 run game. And with these elite pitchers taking the mound, I don’t see any change in that trend tonight.
Jack Flaherty is finally back for the Cards and looked like his old self in a dominant six innings on Friday, and now gets his first start back at home where he’s posted a 1.44 ERA, 0.72 WHIP, and .153 on-base average this year. Brewers starter Freddy Peralta has been dominant against everyone, with opposing bats only managing a .141 average against him. And while the Cardinals have been hot at the plate recently against bad teams, the excellent pitching of Milwaukee cooled them off last night and should again tonight.
Plain and simple: this sets up as a pitcher’s duel. While I think it should be a low-scoring game overall, I want to isolate these excellent arms early in the game.
Degenerates
No degenerates today.
Tiny Nick is 359-252 ATS (+89 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage.
Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.
