Locks
MLB (1 Unit) KC Royals @ Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+110; Odds via Caesars): 12:35 PM CT on MASN2
Now that Oakland is suddenly playing competent baseball, the Kansas City Royals have taken over as the league’s worst team against the run line. That’s both overall at 22-42, and as an underdog at 21-31. The Royals are also a great fade candidate after a loss which they had yesterday, as they’re just 16-29 to the run line in the next game.
Conversely, Baltimore is continuing their strong performance against the run line that started last year, going 39-25 for second-best in MLB so far this season. I think that continues here with Kyle Gibson on the mound looking to atone for a bad road start in KC a few weeks ago. With the Royals being one of the league’s worst offenses against righties, Gibson and an excellent bullpen should be able to hold the Royals down.
And with KC looking like they’ll throw a bullpen game today, Baltimore should be able to score easily against a pen with MLB’s 3rd-worst ERA and 2nd-worst WHIP. The slight plus-juice return makes this even more enticing, so I’ll count on another lopsided loss from the Royals today.
Degenerates
No degenerates today.
Tiny Nick is 1338-1176 ATS (+69.1 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage.
Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.
