Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks: 3/6

Mar 2, 2021; West Lafayette, Indiana, USA; Purdue Boilermakers head coach Matt Painter gestures while a call is being reviewed during the second half of the game against the Wisconsin Badgers at Mackey Arena. Mandatory Credit: Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY Sports
Locks

NCAA Basketball – Indiana @ Purdue -7 (-110): 1:00 PM CT on ESPN

These two teams are headed in polar opposite directions, and I think the market is yet to catch up with the value in this Purdue squad.

The Boilermakers are off a big home win and cover against Wisconsin, part of a 7-3 ATS run and a 7-1 Big Ten home record straight up. As dominant as Purdue has been at home, Indiana is really struggling on the road recently, 0-3 both ATS and straight up. The Hoosiers also are 1-5 ATS in their last six games catching points, and a team struggling situationally like that is a great fade when visiting a strong home team.

The Purdue defense allowing only 0.87 points per possession in their last three should easily hold down a Hoosiers offense only averaging 59.3 PPG in their last three. Look for a big win out of the Boilermakers here as they play for seeding position in both the Big Ten and NCAA tournaments.

Degenerates

NCAA Basketball – Texas A&M @ Arkansas -15 (-110): 4:00 PM CT on SEC Network

This is a really tough spot for a bad Texas A&M team to be walking into. After a COVID pause that saw the Aggies play zero games in February, they got back into action Wednesday with a 6-point home loss to a mediocre Mississippi St. team. Now they travel to the hottest team in the SEC, and the Razorbacks are in the conversation for a 4- or even 3-seed in the dance.

For an Arkansas team that needs style points, and they’re playing like they know it with a 9-1 ATS run and wins by 15 or more in the last four games against bottom-half SEC teams. This is mostly a feel play for me, as I love how Arkansas has been playing lately and think they finish the regular season on a high note with a blowout win.

Tiny Nick is 187-114 ATS (+66.2 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage.

Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.

Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks: 4/10
By Nick Hamaty - Apr 10, 2021
Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks: 4/9
By Nick Hamaty - Apr 9, 2021

Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks: 4/8

Mar 2, 2021; West Lafayette, Indiana, USA; Purdue Boilermakers head coach Matt Painter gestures while a call is being reviewed during the second half of the game against the Wisconsin Badgers at Mackey Arena. Mandatory Credit: Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY Sports

Locks NBA – Lakers/Heat Over 204 (-110): 6:30 PM CT on ESPN This number is simply too low. I understand there’s a chance these teams play in […]

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