No locks today.
MLB – Boston Red Sox/Toronto Blue Jays Over 10.5 (-110): 6:07 PM CT on SportsNet
Baseball has been wildly unpredictable lately, but I’m going to stick with what I know best: overs.
With the Toronto Blue Jays moving back to Canada at the end of the month, we’re running short on time to exploit the smaller Sahlen Field, and this looks like a great opportunity for runs with today’s starting pitchers. Both have been pitiful against the opposing team, with Jays starter Ross Stripling having given up 10 runs in 9 innings of work against the Boston Red Sox this season.
Boston’s lineup also holds a career .299 average and .940 OPS against Stripling, which is eerily similar to how Nick Pivetta has fared against the Toronto bats. Pivetta has allowed a .298 average and 1.041 OPS to Toronto hitters in his career, and he’s been touched up for 11 runs in 10 innings in two starts against the Blue Jays this season. Toronto has also been on fire at the plate lately with a .306 average and 1.056 OPS in the last week, plus they hit right-handed pitching very well.
The Red Sox getting to face a pitcher they’ve owned should help break them out of their recent slump, so I see plenty of scoring tonight from big bats in a small park.
Tiny Nick is 328-230 ATS (+83.1 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage.
Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.