Fortunately, Week 2 is behind us. That lost weekend is a thing of the past as we look ahead to Week 3, and while I’m continuing to back lousy teams, I am also riding a really good one this week. I was really tempted to roll with the Browns this week. I think this one may be closer than many think; I’m just not sure how they score. Call it a bonus pick, if you like.
N.Y. Giants +6 vs. Kansas City
The whole world will be backing the 0-2 Chiefs, figuring this is the get-right spot they need right now. But I saw a Giants team compete on the road for 60 minutes last week, and while there’s no way Russell Wilson continues to channel the 2017 to 2020 version of himself. But he doesn’t need to.
The Chiefs’ offense is stuck in neutral, and likely will be until they get Xavier Worthy and Rashee Rice back. The Giants’ pass rush will cause Patrick Mahomes problems and force them to settle for field goals, leaving New York a clear lane for a back-door cover. Chiefs win by a field goal.
Titans +4 ½ vs. Indianapolis
It’s like I can’t take a hint. Half of my losses this year have come at the hands of the Titans, who continue to fail to cover at a historic level. Yet here I am backing them for the third straight week, as home dogs in a divisional game. 0-2 teams in this spot cover at a better than 60% rate, and here come the Colts, whose value has never been higher.
The next time Indy punts will be its first of the season, and the storybook start will hit some speed bumps on the road. Despite Jeffery Simmons‘ presence, Tennessee’s run defense has gotten off to a rough start, and here comes red-hot Jonathan Taylor. The Titans always seem to find ways to lose, and they probably will again on Sunday, but I think they keep it close. If they don’t cover this week, they’re banished from this blog for the rest of the season.
Lions +5 ½ at Baltimore
I don’t understand this line at all. Explain it to me like I’m stupid. I guess everyone saw the 41 points they put up on Cleveland and figured they may just do that every game. But the score was deceiving, and the Ravens put up less than 250 yards for the game. The Browns imploded on special teams and turnovers, and the game got away from them.
The Ravens will run the ball a lot better this week, but they’ll have a hard time slowing down a Lions offense that’s feeling itself after that 50-burger last week. We know that Jared Goff’s numbers are different outdoors, but the weather won’t be an issue on Monday night. I think the line should be no higher than four. Has a 34 to 30 kind of feel to it.
Last Week: 0-3
Season: 2-4
