Locks
WNBA (0.75 Unit) Chicago Sky @ Toronto Tempo -2.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 2:00 PM CT on The U
This number has been on the move consistently towards Toronto, and I understand exactly why. The Sky have fallen apart since the Rickea Jackson injury, now on an 0-6 ATS run where they’re failing to cover by 8.1 PPG. Chicago is down to just 13th in offensive efficiency and 14th in effective field goal rate, which has shown in weak, disjointed offense without their star scorer. They aren’t playing great defense either, so a highly efficient Toronto offense is a tough matchup. I just don’t see the Sky having enough to keep up here against the two-headed monster of Brittany Sykes and Marina Mabrey, so I think the Tempo win comfortably here.
WNBA (0.75 Unit) LA Sparks Team Total Over 92 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 6:00 PM CT on NBATV
I was hesitant to back the Sparks in any way Friday night when they got Kelsey Plum back in the lineup. It was a short recovery time, but she seems normal and that returned the Sparks to normal, which means points. This offense really ramps up with her in the lineup, scoring 92.1 PPG with a 109.2 offensive rating while going 5-2 over today’s total. Compare that with 80.7 PPG and a 98.1 offensive rating without Plum and you can see why she’s so important to this team. Portland comes into this game with the 3rd-worst defensive efficiency mark in the league, and it’s a Commisioner’s Cup game which encourages teams to run it up, so I see high potential for points out of LA here.
Degenerates
No degenerates today.
Past 7 days Tiny Tracker: 15-16 (-3.30 Units) – Recommend: Tail With Extreme Caution
Tiny Nick has been writing betting picks for Zone Coverage since 2020. Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are what he’s most confident in, while Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.
